Language:English
Burton Albion v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burton Albion (Local)
Prediction 44.82%2.23fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.26%44.76%44.77%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.092.1750.00%47.83%47.85%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 27.95%3.58fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.98%27.99%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.60%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.754%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.26%27.24%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 44.82%; Barnsley (Visit): 27.95%; Draw: 27.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -11.97%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -11.97%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 13:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -2.74%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -11.97%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.38%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.38%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.43%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -2.75%E -0.790%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.90%EV -2.51%E -0.700%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.38%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.38%EV -6.32%E -3.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.32%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.38%EV -6.32%E -3.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.32%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.73%EV -6.32%E -3.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -2.75%E -0.790%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -10.40%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -6.32%E -3.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.38%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -7.95%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.55%EV -6.32%E -3.03%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.38%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.38%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.19%E -0.626%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.38%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 2.3% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |