A Escola das Odds

Bradford City v Stevenage

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Bradford City 0–1 Stevenage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Previsão 41.14%2.43odd justa
EV -4.56%
Vantagem -1.96%
Kelly -3.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.90%41.20%41.14%43.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.122.232.252.3247.17%44.83%44.44%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stevenage (Visitante)

Previsão 27.03%3.70odd justa
EV +0.539%
Vantagem +0.145%
Kelly +0.198%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.50%27.02%26.95%28.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.443.403.7230.77%29.08%29.41%26.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.83%3.14odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -0.953%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.46%31.79%31.91%32.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.802.942.953.0535.71%34.05%33.90%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV +0.539%E +0.145%K +0.198%G +0.001%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -5.14%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:49
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -2.97%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.00%EV -11.14%E -5.16%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.00%EV -11.14%E -5.16%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:30
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:25
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -8.64%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.76%EV -5.79%E -2.53%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -5.95%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:53
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 12:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 12:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:14
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:15
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:15
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.46%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:45
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.46%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:54
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -12.78%E -6.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:30
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -12.78%E -6.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:30
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:55
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:15
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.67%E -3.91%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 12:55
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:44
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%2.2%2026-04-11 13:40