L’École des cotes

Bradford City v Stevenage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Score final : Bradford City 0–1 Stevenage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Prévision 41.14%2.43cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.90%41.20%41.14%43.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.232.252.3247.17%44.83%44.44%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stevenage (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.03%3.70cote équitable
EV +0.539%
Avantage +0.145%
Kelly +0.198%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.50%27.02%26.95%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.403.7230.77%29.08%29.41%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.83%3.14cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.953%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.46%31.79%31.91%32.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.942.953.0535.71%34.05%33.90%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV +0.539%E +0.145%K +0.198%G +0.001%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -5.14%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:49
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -2.97%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.00%EV -11.14%E -5.16%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.00%EV -11.14%E -5.16%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:30
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:25
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -8.64%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.76%EV -5.79%E -2.53%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -5.95%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:53
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 12:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 12:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:14
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:15
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:15
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.46%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:45
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.46%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:54
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -12.78%E -6.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:30
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -12.78%E -6.03%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:30
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:55
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:15
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.67%E -3.91%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 12:55
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:44
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%2.2%2026-04-11 13:40