La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bradford City v Stevenage
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bradford City (Local)
Predicción 41.14%2.43momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -3.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.90%41.20%41.14%43.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.232.252.3247.17%44.83%44.44%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Stevenage (Visitante)
Predicción 27.03%3.70momio equitativo
EV +0.539%
Ventaja +0.145%
Kelly +0.198%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.50%27.02%26.95%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.443.403.7230.77%29.08%29.41%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.83%3.14momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.953%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.46%31.79%31.91%32.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.942.953.0535.71%34.05%33.90%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV +0.539%E +0.145%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -5.14%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -2.97%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.73%E -4.94%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.00%EV -11.14%E -5.16%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.00%EV -11.14%E -5.16%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.953%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -8.64%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.76%EV -5.79%E -2.53%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -5.95%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.46%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.46%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -12.78%E -6.03%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -12.78%E -6.03%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 13:15 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.67%E -3.91%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.27%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.09%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.44%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |