Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City v Peterborough United

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Bradford City 2–0 Peterborough United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 57.42%1.74fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%57.38%57.40%59.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.86%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peterborough United (Visit)

Prediction 19.37%5.16fair odd
EV +0.705%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.168%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.89%19.38%19.38%20.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.784.755.2022.73%20.93%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -0.781%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%23.24%23.22%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.953.984.2027.03%25.29%25.13%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 57.42%; Peterborough United (Visit): 19.37%; Draw: 23.21%. For Peterborough United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.705%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -9.28%E -5.87%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV +0.705%E +0.136%K +0.168%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:39
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.13%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.03%EV -2.39%E -0.475%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.84%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 13:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.13%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.03%EV -2.39%E -0.475%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.84%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 13:54
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:05
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:09
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 12:04
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:52
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -7.61%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.85%E -6.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.85%E -6.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.85%E -6.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 12:00
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.10%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:34
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -8.70%E -5.47%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 12:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.85%E -6.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:44
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 12:05
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.41%E -3.93%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 12:24
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 12:29
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -8.98%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -8.98%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.43%EV -9.28%E -5.87%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -8.98%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:04
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -9.85%E -6.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -8.98%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -9.85%E -6.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -8.98%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -9.95%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:44
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -9.95%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:45
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 12:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -10.43%E -6.68%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.11%E -3.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -10.43%E -6.68%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.11%E -3.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 13:34
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.57%EV -12.08%E -2.66%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.17%EV -6.45%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -5.83%E -3.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.68%EV -5.83%E -3.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.56%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 12:38
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -3.54%E -2.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -14.79%E -3.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-08-15 13:45