La escuela de los momios

Bradford City v Peterborough United

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Predicción 50.79%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -3.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.69%50.71%50.91%52.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.801.801.9157.14%55.53%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Peterborough United (Visitante)

Predicción 22.78%4.39momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.475%
Kelly -0.619%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%22.76%22.70%24.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.023.954.3026.67%24.90%25.32%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.43%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.897%
Ventaja -0.239%
Kelly -0.326%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.37%26.53%26.39%28.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 19:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.03%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 19:44
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.897%E -0.239%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 19:35
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.89%EV -2.50%E -0.584%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.92%EV -8.03%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:54
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 15:54
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:44
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 01:05
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 16:35
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 15:56
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -7.56%E -4.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.22%E -0.600%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 19:39
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.56%E -4.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 03:25
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.56%E -4.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 03:25
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -8.07%E -4.46%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.04%E -0.475%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -8.03%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:44
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.28%EV -8.07%E -4.46%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 09:20
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -8.57%E -4.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 12:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -8.57%E -4.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 07:34
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.57%E -4.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 19:35
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.57%E -4.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -13.43%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 17:59
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.57%E -4.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 08:45
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -8.57%E -4.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.43%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 19:04
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -10.61%E -6.03%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -11.11%E -6.35%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -2.04%E -0.475%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -11.11%E -6.35%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:33
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -11.11%E -6.35%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:33
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -11.11%E -6.35%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 12:28
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.11%E -6.35%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-07 12:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.11%E -6.35%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-30 09:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%11.0%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 46.01%2.20I 45.45%NM 31.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.63%44.9%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 46.01%2.20I 45.45%NM 31.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.63%44.9%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 46.01%2.20I 45.45%NM 31.37%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.63%44.9%2026-07-21 12:25