Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City v Mansfield Town

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 48.54%2.06fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -5.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.04%48.57%48.49%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.911.9554.64%52.53%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mansfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.66%24.19%24.31%24.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.804.0027.78%26.15%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.74%27.24%27.20%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.393.403.5030.77%29.49%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bradford City (Local): 48.54%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 24.27%; Draw: 27.19%. For Mansfield Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -2.93%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.80%E -3.54%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 17:15
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -6.80%E -3.54%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.83%EV -4.63%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -7.01%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 17:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 17:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.77%E -4.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.77%E -4.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -4.39%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.01%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.77%E -4.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 17:09
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -7.77%E -4.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 17:14
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -8.74%E -4.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.20%E -5.51%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:39
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.17%E -6.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 17:13
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 17:40