Language:English
Bradford City v Mansfield Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bradford City (Local)
Prediction 50.43%1.98fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.35%50.46%50.44%52.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.9057.14%54.34%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mansfield Town (Visit)
Prediction 23.39%4.27fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.547%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%23.38%23.42%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.994.004.2026.67%25.08%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV -0.520%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.186%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.16%26.14%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.543.553.8029.41%28.27%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 50.43%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 23.39%; Draw: 26.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.520%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.19%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 06:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -4.45%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.14%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 06:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 06:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 06:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 06:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.36%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96%EV -2.69%E -0.646%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.68%EV -2.61%E -0.703%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.14%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 06:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 05:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 09:26 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.21%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.45%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.21%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.45%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.97%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.98%EV -4.56%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 06:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.72%E -4.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.520%E -0.137%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.72%E -4.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.72%E -4.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 06:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.72%E -4.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -9.73%E -5.44%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -9.73%E -5.44%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |