Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bradford City v Mansfield Town

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Bradford City 1–0 Mansfield Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bradford City (Local)

Previsão 50.43%1.98odd justa
EV -4.19%
Vantagem -2.20%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.35%50.46%50.44%52.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.841.851.9057.14%54.34%54.05%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Previsão 23.39%4.27odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.417%
Kelly -0.547%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.90%23.38%23.42%24.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.753.994.004.2026.67%25.08%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.18%3.82odd justa
EV -0.520%
Vantagem -0.137%
Kelly -0.186%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.53%26.16%26.14%27.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.543.553.8029.41%28.27%28.17%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bradford City (Local): 50.43%; Mansfield Town (Visitante): 23.39%; Empate: 26.18%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.80, com valor esperado de -0.520%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -4.19%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 06:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 06:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -4.45%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.14%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 06:00
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 06:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 06:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 06:05
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.36%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96%EV -2.69%E -0.646%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.68%EV -2.61%E -0.703%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:15
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.14%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 08:20
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:35
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 06:00
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 05:59
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 09:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 09:30
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 09:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 09:26
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 09:35
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.68%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 14:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.71%E -3.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.21%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.45%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.21%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.45%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:20
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.97%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.98%EV -4.56%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:14
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 06:00
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.72%E -4.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.520%E -0.137%K -0.186%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.72%E -4.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.72%E -4.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.37%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 06:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.72%E -4.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:14
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:15
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.38%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -9.73%E -5.44%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -9.73%E -5.44%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.547%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 09:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-09-04 11:30
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-09-04 14:35