Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 4.21
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 48.41%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 23.90%; Draw: 27.69%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.603%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV +0.603%E +0.143%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.49%EV -3.35%E -0.961%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV +0.364%E +0.087%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV +0.364%E +0.087%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +0.364%E +0.087%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -2.03%E -0.494%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -3.22%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.306%E -0.085%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.81%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -6.81%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.00%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.29%EV -5.57%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.29%EV -5.57%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -12.86%E -7.14%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.58%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |