La escuela de los momios

Bradford City v Leyton Orient

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Predicción 48.41%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.29%48.57%48.41%50.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.902.0055.56%52.75%52.63%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leyton Orient (Visitante)

Predicción 23.90%4.18momio equitativo
EV +0.603%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.188%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.89%23.78%23.94%24.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.923.904.2127.03%25.51%25.64%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.69%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.306%
Ventaja -0.085%
Kelly -0.118%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%27.65%27.65%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.65%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV +0.603%E +0.143%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.49%EV -3.35%E -0.961%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 14:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV +0.364%E +0.087%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:35
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV +0.364%E +0.087%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +0.364%E +0.087%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -2.03%E -0.494%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -3.22%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:35
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:30
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:30
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:30
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.306%E -0.085%K -0.118%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:44
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:30
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:29
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:30
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:30
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 14:04
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.81%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:30
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -6.81%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:39
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:30
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.81%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:29
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:34
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -8.00%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -8.00%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:19
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:04
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.29%EV -5.57%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.29%EV -5.57%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:04
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:54
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:54
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:55
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:35
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:39
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 13:59
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:30
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:04
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -12.86%E -7.14%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.58%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-03-07 14:54
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-07 14:54