Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bolton Wanderers v Wycombe Wanderers

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 48.69%2.05fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -5.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%48.78%48.47%50.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.911.9554.64%52.52%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wycombe Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.463%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.49%24.74%24.91%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.704.0928.57%26.87%27.03%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.159%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%26.48%26.62%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.59%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bolton Wanderers (Local): 48.69%; Wycombe Wanderers (Visit): 24.80%; Draw: 26.51%. For Wycombe Wanderers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.52%EV -5.54%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.49%EV +1.43%E +0.350%K +0.463%G +0.007%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.99%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -2.29%E -0.581%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -9.43%E -5.07%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.28%E -0.841%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -3.28%E -0.841%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:09
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 12:49
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:13
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.595%E -0.159%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 12:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.74%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.76%EV -6.26%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 08:05
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -0.595%E -0.159%K -0.216%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.92%E -0.519%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:34
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 08:04
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:19
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:54
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.45%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.42%EV -9.23%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.13%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.45%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.42%EV -9.23%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.13%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:50
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:34
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.35%EV -9.43%E -5.07%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-07 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.96%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.96%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.20%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 14:49
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%2.0%2026-03-07 14:54