L’École des cotes

Bolton Wanderers v Wycombe Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 48.69%2.05cote équitable
EV -5.05%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -5.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.93%48.78%48.47%50.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.901.911.9554.64%52.52%52.36%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wycombe Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.80%4.03cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.350%
Kelly +0.463%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.49%24.74%24.91%26.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.723.704.0928.57%26.87%27.03%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.51%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.595%
Avantage -0.159%
Kelly -0.216%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.91%26.48%26.62%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.59%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.52%EV -5.54%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.49%EV +1.43%E +0.350%K +0.463%G +0.007%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.99%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.97%E -4.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -2.29%E -0.581%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:35
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -9.43%E -5.07%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.28%E -0.841%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -3.28%E -0.841%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 12:49
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:13
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.92%E -5.36%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.595%E -0.159%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 13:54
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 12:50
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.74%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.76%EV -6.26%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:35
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 08:05
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -0.595%E -0.159%K -0.216%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:34
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.92%E -0.519%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:24
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:49
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.00%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 12:50
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:34
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:34
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 08:04
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.95%E -4.78%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:19
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:54
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:25
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.45%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.42%EV -9.23%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.13%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:39
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.45%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.42%EV -9.23%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.13%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:34
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:34
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.35%EV -9.43%E -5.07%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:25
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.89%E -5.95%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-07 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.96%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.46%E -4.50%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.96%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.20%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 14:49
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%2.0%2026-03-07 14:54