Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bolton Wanderers v Huddersfield Town

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

Final: Bolton Wanderers 3–3 Huddersfield Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 54.07%1.85fair odd
EV +7.06%
Edge +3.57%
Kelly +7.20%
Growth +0.509%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.27%53.77%54.08%55.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.721.9861.73%57.86%58.14%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huddersfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 22.10%4.53fair odd
EV -0.567%
Edge -0.126%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%22.31%22.16%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.174.204.5028.57%23.96%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV -0.139%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.044%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.88%23.92%23.76%26.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.843.804.1930.30%26.01%26.32%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bolton Wanderers (Local): 54.07%; Huddersfield Town (Visit): 22.10%; Draw: 23.83%. For Bolton Wanderers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV +7.06%E +3.57%K +7.20%G +0.509%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -22.66%E -6.48%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.29%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.29%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.29%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:00
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.34%EV -5.21%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV -0.139%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 11:00
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:00
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.19%EV -6.46%E -3.73%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -5.87%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.80%EV -6.10%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:00
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.46%E -3.73%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.09%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.09%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.28%E -0.557%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.10%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:59
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 10:59
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -0.567%E -0.126%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -0.567%E -0.126%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:00
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.32%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -0.567%E -0.126%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:00
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:59
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:00
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -8.62%E -5.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.09%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.32%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -2.78%E -0.631%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:00
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -12.41%E -7.66%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -21.35%E -6.47%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%2.9%2026-04-18 11:00