La escuela de los momios

Bolton Wanderers v Huddersfield Town

Inicio: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

Final: Bolton Wanderers 3–3 Huddersfield Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 54.07%1.85momio equitativo
EV +7.06%
Ventaja +3.57%
Kelly +7.20%
Crecimiento +0.509%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.27%53.77%54.08%55.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.721.9861.73%57.86%58.14%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Huddersfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 22.10%4.53momio equitativo
EV -0.567%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%22.31%22.16%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.174.204.5028.57%23.96%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV -0.139%
Ventaja -0.033%
Kelly -0.044%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.88%23.92%23.76%26.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.843.804.1930.30%26.01%26.32%23.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV +7.06%E +3.57%K +7.20%G +0.509%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -22.66%E -6.48%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:00
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.29%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 11:00
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.29%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 10:59
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.29%E -2.43%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:00
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:00
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.34%EV -5.21%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV -0.139%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 11:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.38%E -3.07%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:00
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -5.92%E -3.40%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:00
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.19%EV -6.46%E -3.73%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -5.87%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.80%EV -6.10%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:00
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.46%E -3.73%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.09%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.09%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.00%E -4.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.28%E -0.557%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.10%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -7.54%E -4.41%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 10:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -0.567%E -0.126%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 11:00
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -0.567%E -0.126%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:00
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.32%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -0.567%E -0.126%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:00
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:59
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.08%E -4.75%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -8.62%E -5.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.09%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.32%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -2.78%E -0.631%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:00
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.32%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -12.41%E -7.66%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -21.35%E -6.47%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%2.9%2026-04-18 11:00