Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blackpool (Local): 36.47%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 34.88%; Draw: 28.65%. For Wigan Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -2.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 09:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.73%E -1.35%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.59%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.91%E -2.29%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.52%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.91%E -2.29%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.52%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.47%EV -6.64%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.47%EV -6.64%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 10:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.37%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.76%EV -6.18%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.42%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -8.10%E -3.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -7.74%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.34%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.34%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.34%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -12.47%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |