La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Blackpool v Wigan Athletic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Blackpool (Local)
Predicción 36.47%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.21%36.43%36.50%38.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.71%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wigan Athletic (Visitante)
Predicción 34.88%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.49%34.89%34.88%36.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.702.8040.00%37.23%37.04%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.65%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.760%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.42%28.68%28.62%30.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.4034.72%30.95%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 09:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -3.72%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.73%E -1.35%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.59%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.45%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.91%E -2.29%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.52%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.91%E -2.29%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.52%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.47%EV -6.64%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.47%EV -6.64%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 10:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -7.00%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 10:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.37%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.76%EV -6.18%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.42%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -8.10%E -3.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.00%EV -7.74%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.34%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.34%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.34%E -0.835%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -9.56%E -3.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.38%E -4.68%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -12.47%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |