Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool v Port Vale

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool (Local)

Prediction 51.21%1.95fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.99%51.28%52.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.831.9257.80%54.42%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Port Vale (Visit)

Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV -0.344%
Edge -0.076%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.71%22.06%21.88%24.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.124.154.5526.32%24.26%24.10%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV -0.533%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.197%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%26.94%26.84%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.06%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blackpool (Local): 51.21%; Port Vale (Visit): 21.90%; Draw: 26.88%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.55, with an expected value of -0.344%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -1.67%E -0.869%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.49%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -1.67%E -0.869%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.49%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -1.67%E -0.869%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.49%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 18:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 18:45
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 18:45
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -3.20%E -1.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:30
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -15.68%E -4.07%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -15.68%E -4.07%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.28%EV -1.00%E -0.221%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -16.77%E -4.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -16.77%E -4.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.77%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:04
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:40
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.533%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:20
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.63%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.89%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -1.22%E -0.270%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.39%EV -8.33%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:39
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.33%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -2.53%E -0.569%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:20
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -11.40%E -6.59%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -11.40%E -6.59%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -19.35%E -6.45%K -9.68%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51%2.0%2026-03-17 19:35