La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Blackpool v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Blackpool (Local)
Predicción 51.21%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.869%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%50.99%51.28%52.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.841.831.9257.80%54.42%54.64%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 21.90%4.57momio equitativo
EV -0.344%
Ventaja -0.076%
Kelly -0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.71%22.06%21.88%24.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.124.154.5526.32%24.26%24.10%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.88%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.533%
Ventaja -0.144%
Kelly -0.197%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.40%26.94%26.84%28.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.06%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -1.67%E -0.869%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.49%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -1.67%E -0.869%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.49%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -1.67%E -0.869%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.49%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -2.18%E -1.14%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 18:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -3.20%E -1.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -15.68%E -4.07%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.72%E -1.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -15.68%E -4.07%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -4.23%E -2.26%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.00%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.28%EV -1.00%E -0.221%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -16.77%E -4.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -16.77%E -4.41%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.84%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.77%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:04 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.28%E -3.43%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.79%E -3.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.533%E -0.144%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.63%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.89%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -1.22%E -0.270%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.39%EV -8.33%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.82%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:39 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.33%E -4.65%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -2.53%E -0.569%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.35%E -5.28%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -11.40%E -6.59%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -11.40%E -6.59%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -19.35%E -6.45%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.51% | 2.0% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |