Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool v Exeter City

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool (Local)

Prediction 49.66%2.01fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.21%49.67%49.53%51.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.871.9755.56%53.06%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Exeter City (Visit)

Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV +0.628%
Edge +0.152%
Kelly +0.200%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%24.30%24.36%25.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.773.754.1428.57%26.55%26.67%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.474%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.57%26.03%26.11%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.533.503.7932.26%28.33%28.57%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blackpool (Local): 49.66%; Exeter City (Visit): 24.31%; Draw: 26.04%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.628%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.41%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.22%EV +0.628%E +0.152%K +0.200%G +0.001%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.37%EV -1.32%E -0.349%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -7.64%E -4.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -0.344%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -7.64%E -4.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -0.344%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:40
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.77%E -0.694%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.77%E -0.694%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -2.77%E -0.694%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -2.77%E -0.694%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:44
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -5.21%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.21%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -5.23%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.21%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:44
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:38
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:54
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:44
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.65%E -2.97%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:24
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.65%E -2.97%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.65%E -2.97%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:24
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -19.29%E -6.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.65%E -2.97%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:24
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.64%E -3.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:30
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:30
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -14.93%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -14.93%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-04-03 13:55