La escuela de los momios

Blackpool v Exeter City

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Blackpool (Local)

Predicción 49.66%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.21%49.67%49.53%51.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.871.9755.56%53.06%53.48%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Exeter City (Visitante)

Predicción 24.31%4.11momio equitativo
EV +0.628%
Ventaja +0.152%
Kelly +0.200%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.22%24.30%24.36%25.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.773.754.1428.57%26.55%26.67%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.04%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.349%
Kelly -0.474%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%26.03%26.11%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.503.7932.26%28.33%28.57%26.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.41%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.22%EV +0.628%E +0.152%K +0.200%G +0.001%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.37%EV -1.32%E -0.349%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -7.64%E -4.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -0.344%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -7.64%E -4.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -0.344%E -0.084%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:40
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.77%E -0.694%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.77%E -0.694%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:55
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -2.77%E -0.694%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -2.77%E -0.694%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:44
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -5.21%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 13:35
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.21%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -5.23%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.21%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:40
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -9.13%E -4.99%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:44
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:25
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:38
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:54
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.64%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:44
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.65%E -2.97%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:24
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.65%E -2.97%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.65%E -2.97%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:24
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:25
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -10.62%E -5.90%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -19.29%E -6.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.65%E -2.97%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.16%E -2.70%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:24
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.13%E -4.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.64%E -3.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:25
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -7.14%E -3.82%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:29
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:29
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:30
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:30
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:29
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:30
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:29
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -14.93%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:30
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -4.66%E -2.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -14.93%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.37%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-04-03 13:55