Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.28
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 42.39%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 29.99%; Draw: 27.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.569%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -3.35%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.16%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -3.35%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.16%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -1.94%E -0.593%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.91%EV -5.47%E -2.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.77%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.58%EV -7.16%E -3.27%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.75%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.39%EV -7.16%E -3.27%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -11.53%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.01%E -3.69%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.569%E -0.158%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.13%E -4.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.04%E -0.315%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.13%E -4.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.04%E -0.315%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.13%E -4.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.04%E -0.315%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.67%E -6.15%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.67%E -6.15%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |