La escuela de los momios

Barnsley v Wigan Athletic

Inicio: 2026-03-17 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Predicción 42.39%2.36momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.39%42.39%42.52%44.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.062.172.192.2848.54%46.04%45.66%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wigan Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 29.99%3.33momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.315%
Kelly -0.452%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.95%29.84%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.133.103.3033.90%31.99%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.62%3.62momio equitativo
EV -0.569%
Ventaja -0.158%
Kelly -0.219%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.07%27.66%27.64%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.71%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -3.35%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.16%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -3.35%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.16%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 19:20
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -1.94%E -0.593%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.92%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:20
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.91%EV -5.47%E -2.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.77%EV -5.84%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:23
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:55
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:25
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:20
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.58%EV -7.16%E -3.27%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.75%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 41.39%EV -7.16%E -3.27%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -11.53%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 09:25
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.01%E -3.69%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.569%E -0.158%K -0.219%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:30
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:53
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.13%E -4.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.04%E -0.315%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:20
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.13%E -4.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.04%E -0.315%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -10.13%E -4.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.04%E -0.315%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:15
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:15
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.54%E -0.781%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.67%E -6.15%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:20
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.67%E -6.15%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 19:50
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 19:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-03-17 19:50