L’École des cotes

Barnsley v Stockport County FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Barnsley 1–3 Stockport County FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Prévision 24.67%4.05cote équitable
EV +1.16%
Avantage +0.283%
Kelly +0.374%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.98%24.59%24.79%26.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.743.754.1028.57%26.70%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stockport County FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.36%1.91cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.92%52.39%52.24%53.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.781.8559.88%56.36%56.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.97%4.35cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.286%
Kelly -0.373%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.67%23.02%22.97%24.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.054.004.3028.57%24.68%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV +1.16%E +0.283%K +0.374%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.21%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -8.90%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.97%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.95%E -5.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet3.97I 25.19%NM 23.61%EV -2.05%E -0.516%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.25%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -6.97%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -10.99%E -6.47%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:50
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:53
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.14%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:45
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -3.66%E -1.99%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -12.56%E -7.52%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -19.61%E -5.60%K -7.84%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:46
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.23%E -0.286%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.23%E -0.286%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.23%E -0.286%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:31
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:43
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:56
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -12.56%E -7.52%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.90%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.90%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.02%3.4%2026-05-02 13:55