La escuela de los momios

Barnsley v Stockport County FC

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnsley 1–3 Stockport County FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Predicción 24.67%4.05momio equitativo
EV +1.16%
Ventaja +0.283%
Kelly +0.374%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.98%24.59%24.79%26.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.743.754.1028.57%26.70%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 52.36%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.92%52.39%52.24%53.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.781.8559.88%56.36%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.97%4.35momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.286%
Kelly -0.373%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.67%23.02%22.97%24.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.054.004.3028.57%24.68%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV +1.16%E +0.283%K +0.374%G +0.004%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.21%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:46
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -8.90%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.97%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.31%E -0.327%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.95%E -5.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet3.97I 25.19%NM 23.61%EV -2.05%E -0.516%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.25%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -6.97%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.968%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -10.99%E -6.47%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:40
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.57%E -3.00%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.37%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:50
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:53
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.14%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:45
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -3.66%E -1.99%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -12.56%E -7.52%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -19.61%E -5.60%K -7.84%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:46
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -10.42%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.23%E -0.286%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.23%E -0.286%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.23%E -0.286%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -2.38%E -0.560%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:31
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:43
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:56
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -12.56%E -7.52%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.90%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.90%E -5.11%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -3.53%E -0.840%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.02%3.4%2026-05-02 13:55