A Escola das Odds

Barnsley v Exeter City

Início: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Previsão 44.89%2.23odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -1.62%
Kelly -3.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.86%45.10%44.83%47.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.022.052.1552.36%49.43%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Exeter City (Visitante)

Previsão 29.45%3.40odd justa
EV +4.54%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescimento +0.081%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.43%29.23%29.52%30.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.253.203.5533.33%30.81%31.25%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.66%3.90odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.582%
Kelly -0.789%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.46%25.67%25.66%26.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.613.603.8131.25%27.67%27.78%26.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -12.47%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:55
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -13.37%E -6.93%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV +1.60%E +0.463%K +0.652%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -13.37%E -6.93%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV +1.60%E +0.463%K +0.652%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:19
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV +0.125%E +0.037%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV +0.125%E +0.037%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.64%EV -5.29%E -2.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -2.53%E -0.763%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.27%EV -2.22%E -0.582%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:45
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -8.88%E -4.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.82%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.09%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.82%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -3.76%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -3.76%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 13:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 13:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:09
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:53
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:34
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.47%E -0.651%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:54
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 13:54
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 13:54
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 09:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:55
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -17.87%E -5.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-07 14:44
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.29%EV -9.59%E -3.12%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.20%EV -5.30%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.29%EV -9.59%E -3.12%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.20%EV -5.30%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:50
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 09:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:34
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-03-07 14:45