Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley v Exeter City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley (Local)

Prévision 44.89%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -3.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.86%45.10%44.83%47.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.022.052.1552.36%49.43%48.78%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Exeter City (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.45%3.40cote équitable
EV +4.54%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.081%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.43%29.23%29.52%30.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.203.5533.33%30.81%31.25%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.66%3.90cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -0.582%
Kelly -0.789%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%25.67%25.66%26.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.613.603.8131.25%27.67%27.78%26.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barnsley (Local) : 44.89% ; Exeter City (Visiteur) : 29.45% ; Match nul : 25.66%. Pour Exeter City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.40. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.55, soit une espérance positive de +4.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -12.47%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -13.37%E -6.93%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV +1.60%E +0.463%K +0.652%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -13.37%E -6.93%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV +1.60%E +0.463%K +0.652%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV +0.125%E +0.037%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV +0.125%E +0.037%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.64%EV -5.29%E -2.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -2.53%E -0.763%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.27%EV -2.22%E -0.582%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -8.88%E -4.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.82%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.09%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.82%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -3.76%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -3.76%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 13:54
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:09
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:53
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:34
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.47%E -0.651%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 09:14
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:55
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -17.87%E -5.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-07 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.29%EV -9.59%E -3.12%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.20%EV -5.30%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.29%EV -9.59%E -3.12%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.20%EV -5.30%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 09:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:34
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-03-07 14:45