La escuela de los momios

Barnsley v Exeter City

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Predicción 44.89%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.86%45.10%44.83%47.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.052.1552.36%49.43%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Exeter City (Visitante)

Predicción 29.45%3.40momio equitativo
EV +4.54%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.081%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.43%29.23%29.52%30.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.203.5533.33%30.81%31.25%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.66%3.90momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.582%
Kelly -0.789%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%25.67%25.66%26.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.613.603.8131.25%27.67%27.78%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -12.02%E -6.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV +4.54%E +1.28%K +1.78%G +0.081%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -12.47%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -12.92%E -6.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV +3.07%E +0.877%K +1.23%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.32%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:55
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -13.37%E -6.93%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV +1.60%E +0.463%K +0.652%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -13.37%E -6.93%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV +1.60%E +0.463%K +0.652%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 14:19
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV +0.125%E +0.037%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV +0.125%E +0.037%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.64%EV -5.29%E -2.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.09%EV -2.53%E -0.763%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.27%EV -2.22%E -0.582%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 14:45
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -8.88%E -4.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -2.82%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.09%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.57%E -5.87%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.82%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:39
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -3.76%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.29%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -3.76%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 13:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 13:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:09
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:53
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:34
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.47%E -0.651%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 13:54
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 13:54
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 13:54
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.49%E -1.62%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 09:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:55
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:34
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.98%E -3.89%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -8.71%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -17.87%E -5.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-07 14:44
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.29%EV -9.59%E -3.12%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.20%EV -5.30%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.29%EV -9.59%E -3.12%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.20%EV -5.30%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:50
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -7.08%E -3.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -10.18%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -10.17%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.23%E -5.11%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 09:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:34
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-03-07 14:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-03-07 14:45