Language:English
Barnsley v Doncaster Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barnsley (Local)
Prediction 37.20%2.69fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.92%37.39%37.09%40.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.452.452.6143.86%40.88%40.82%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Doncaster Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 36.54%2.74fair odd
EV +0.479%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.274%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.20%36.41%36.60%37.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.552.7541.67%38.70%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.401%
Kelly -0.547%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%26.20%26.31%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.553.603.7529.85%28.20%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 37.20%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 36.54%; Draw: 26.27%. For Doncaster Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.479%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV +0.479%E +0.174%K +0.274%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV +0.479%E +0.174%K +0.274%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV +0.479%E +0.174%K +0.274%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -13.70%E -5.91%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -13.70%E -5.91%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -15.19%E -6.66%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -15.19%E -6.66%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.88%EV -2.92%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.60%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.13%EV -6.64%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -5.73%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -5.73%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -1.50%E -0.401%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.01%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.87%EV -8.13%E -3.29%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.39%E -3.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 14:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.23% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.23% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.23% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.14% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |