La escuela de los momios

Barnsley v Doncaster Rovers

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Predicción 37.20%2.69momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.92%37.39%37.09%40.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.452.452.6143.86%40.88%40.82%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 36.54%2.74momio equitativo
EV +0.479%
Ventaja +0.174%
Kelly +0.274%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.20%36.41%36.60%37.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.552.7541.67%38.70%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.27%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.401%
Kelly -0.547%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.84%26.20%26.31%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.553.603.7529.85%28.20%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV +0.479%E +0.174%K +0.274%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:34
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV +0.479%E +0.174%K +0.274%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:34
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV +0.479%E +0.174%K +0.274%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:34
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:34
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -4.78%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.84%EV -13.33%E -5.72%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -13.70%E -5.91%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -13.70%E -5.91%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:34
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -15.19%E -6.66%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:34
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -15.19%E -6.66%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:34
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.88%EV -2.92%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.60%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 14:45
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.13%EV -6.64%E -2.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:34
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:34
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -5.73%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.27%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -5.73%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.15%E -2.02%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -1.50%E -0.401%K -0.547%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:54
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:44
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:54
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -12.59%E -5.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.29%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:39
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:39
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.82%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:39
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:40
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:44
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:45
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:29
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -7.01%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.01%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:34
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:34
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:34
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:34
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.87%E -3.62%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.87%EV -8.13%E -3.29%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.39%E -3.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.38%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:54
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.73%E -4.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.44%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.23%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.23%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.23%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-21 14:45
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.14%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-03-21 14:50