Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley v Bradford City

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

Final: Barnsley 2–2 Bradford City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley (Local)

Prediction 30.30%3.30fair odd
EV -0.927%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.409%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.35%30.38%31.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.043.053.2734.72%32.93%32.79%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Visit)

Prediction 41.85%2.39fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.34%41.82%41.85%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.232.2750.00%45.09%44.84%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.86%3.59fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.72%27.83%27.77%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.353.5033.33%29.81%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 30.30%; Bradford City (Visit): 41.85%; Draw: 27.86%. For Barnsley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.27, with an expected value of -0.927%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.44%EV -0.927%E -0.284%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.41%EV -5.01%E -2.21%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -4.73%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 11:00
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -6.68%E -3.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -7.51%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 11:00
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.24%EV -7.52%E -3.40%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -7.51%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:59
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:00
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:00
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:59
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:59
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:00
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 09:59
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 08:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 10:00
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 08:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.43%E -5.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.17%EV -7.52%E -3.40%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -6.68%E -3.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -6.68%E -3.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -12.74%E -4.42%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -12.74%E -4.42%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%3.3%2026-04-18 11:00