La escuela de los momios

Barnsley v Bradford City

Inicio: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

Final: Barnsley 2–2 Bradford City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Predicción 30.30%3.30momio equitativo
EV -0.927%
Ventaja -0.284%
Kelly -0.409%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%30.35%30.38%31.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.043.053.2734.72%32.93%32.79%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bradford City (Visitante)

Predicción 41.85%2.39momio equitativo
EV -5.01%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -3.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%41.82%41.85%42.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.232.2750.00%45.09%44.84%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.714%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.72%27.83%27.77%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.353.5033.33%29.81%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.44%EV -0.927%E -0.284%K -0.409%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.41%EV -5.01%E -2.21%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -4.73%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 11:00
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -6.68%E -3.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -7.51%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:00
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 11:00
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 11:00
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.44%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.24%EV -7.52%E -3.40%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -7.51%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:59
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:00
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:00
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:59
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:59
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 11:00
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.08%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 09:59
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:00
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 09:59
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 08:30
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:00
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 10:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 08:30
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -9.11%E -3.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.43%E -5.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:59
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.17%EV -7.52%E -3.40%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -6.68%E -3.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:00
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -6.68%E -3.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.14%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -12.74%E -4.42%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -12.74%E -4.42%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -8.78%E -4.03%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-04-18 11:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%3.3%2026-04-18 11:00