The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sheffield Wednesday v Accrington Stanley

2026-11-11 19:00 UTC — EFL Trophy

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prediction 61.70%1.62fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -10.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.92%61.57%61.68%63.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.501.5371.43%67.47%66.89%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Visit)

Prediction 17.77%5.63fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.455%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.94%17.80%17.77%19.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.004.855.7522.73%19.98%20.62%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.53%4.87fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.51%20.63%20.56%22.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.314.354.6025.64%23.20%22.99%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 61.70%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 17.77%; Draw: 20.53%. For Accrington Stanley (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.75, producing a positive expected value of +2.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV +2.16%E +0.376%K +0.455%G +0.010%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-10 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.13%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV +1.27%E +0.223%K +0.271%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -8.07%E -5.42%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.28%E -0.415%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 15:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -11.15%E -7.75%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -2.28%E -0.415%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.09%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-10 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -13.62%E -9.73%K -34.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -2.28%E -0.415%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-10 16:05
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 16.90%EV -4.41%E -0.820%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.78%EV -6.54%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.11%EV -9.04%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-10 15:24
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -11.15%E -7.75%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-10 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -9.30%E -6.33%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -7.61%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-10 16:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-10 15:39
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 15:25
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -12.73%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-10 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -12.94%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -12.94%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-10 15:40
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -8.07%E -5.42%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -11.71%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -8.07%E -5.42%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -11.71%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:14
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -19.92%E -5.11%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -19.92%E -5.11%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -19.92%E -5.11%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -19.92%E -5.11%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:24
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.40%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -15.61%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -11.71%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-10 15:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -11.15%E -7.75%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -20.05%E -4.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-10 15:40
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44%EV -11.15%E -7.75%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.78%EV -21.82%E -4.96%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.78%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-10 14:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%3.6%2026-11-10 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%3.6%2026-11-10 15:00
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 61.73%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-11-10 16:10

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