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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sheffield Wednesday v Accrington Stanley

2026-11-11 19:00 UTC — EFL Trophy

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sheffield Wednesday (主队)

预测 61.70%1.62公平赔率
EV -5.60%
优势 -3.66%
Kelly -10.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布
58.92%61.57%61.68%63.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.481.501.5371.43%67.47%66.89%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Accrington Stanley (客队)

预测 17.77%5.63公平赔率
EV +2.16%
优势 +0.376%
Kelly +0.455%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
15.94%17.80%17.77%19.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.004.855.7522.73%19.98%20.62%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.53%4.87公平赔率
EV -5.55%
优势 -1.21%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
19.51%20.63%20.56%22.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.314.354.6025.64%23.20%22.99%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Sheffield Wednesday (主队)：61.70%；Accrington Stanley (客队)：17.77%；平局：20.53%。 对于“Accrington Stanley (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.63。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.75，由此产生+2.16%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV +2.16%E +0.376%K +0.455%G +0.010%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-10 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.13%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV +1.27%E +0.223%K +0.271%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -8.07%E -5.42%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.28%E -0.415%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 15:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -11.15%E -7.75%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -2.28%E -0.415%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.09%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-10 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -13.62%E -9.73%K -34.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -2.28%E -0.415%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-10 16:05
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 16.90%EV -4.41%E -0.820%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.78%EV -6.54%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.11%EV -9.04%E -2.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-10 15:24
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -11.15%E -7.75%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-10 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -9.30%E -6.33%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -7.61%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -13.76%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-10 16:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-10 15:39
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 15:25
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -12.73%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-10 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.24%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -12.94%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -12.94%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-10 15:40
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.68%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -8.07%E -5.42%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -11.71%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -8.07%E -5.42%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -11.71%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:14
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -19.92%E -5.11%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -19.92%E -5.11%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -19.92%E -5.11%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.72%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -19.92%E -5.11%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:24
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.40%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -15.61%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -11.71%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-10 15:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -11.15%E -7.75%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -20.05%E -4.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -7.60%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-10 15:40
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.44%EV -11.15%E -7.75%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.78%EV -21.82%E -4.96%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.78%EV -9.65%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-10 14:58
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.37%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-11-10 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.37%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-11-10 16:20
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%4.3%2026-11-10 16:20

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