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Burton Albion v Notts County

2026-11-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Trophy

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prediction 37.45%2.67fair odd
EV -6.36%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.67%37.40%37.48%39.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.5044.44%42.03%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notts County (Visit)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.23%37.34%37.15%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6343.48%40.05%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.24%3.96fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.01%25.26%25.37%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.7530.30%27.98%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Burton Albion (Local): 37.45%; Notts County (Visit): 37.31%; Draw: 25.24%. For Notts County (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.63, with an expected value of -1.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.41%EV -7.38%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 16:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.36%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.36%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 15:49
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-10 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.88%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-10 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-10 16:05
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -8.99%E -3.70%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -8.99%E -3.70%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.21%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.36%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 15:50
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.67%E -3.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-10 15:50
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -16.72%E -5.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-10 15:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -16.72%E -5.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-10 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -16.72%E -5.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-10 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -16.72%E -5.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-10 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.11%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -1.88%E -0.715%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.88%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-10 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-10 16:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.67%E -3.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-10 15:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.91%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-10 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.91%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-10 15:50
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -11.98%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-10 15:55
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.73%E -5.46%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.73%E -5.46%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.73%E -5.46%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.73%E -5.46%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.73%E -5.46%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.73%E -5.46%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.73%E -5.46%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.41%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.41%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 15:14
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.41%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 15:39
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -11.67%E -3.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-10 15:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.41%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-10 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-11-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.4%2026-11-10 16:10
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.4%2026-11-10 16:10

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