L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Burton Albion v Notts County

2026-11-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Trophy

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prévision 37.39%2.67cote équitable
EV -6.53%
Avantage -2.61%
Kelly -4.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.46%37.38%37.45%39.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.382.5044.44%42.05%42.02%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Notts County (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.24%2.69cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.782%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.23%37.22%37.12%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.6343.48%40.00%40.00%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.37%3.94cote équitable
EV -4.85%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.01%25.40%25.42%26.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.603.7530.30%28.03%27.78%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Burton Albion (Local) : 37.39% ; Notts County (Visiteur) : 37.24% ; Match nul : 25.37%. Pour Notts County (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.69. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.63, pour une espérance de -2.06% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.41%EV -6.88%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 16:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.62%E -4.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 15:49
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-10 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-10 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.49%E -5.31%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-10 16:20
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -9.15%E -3.77%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -9.15%E -3.77%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.37%E -4.78%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 15:50
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.90%E -2.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-10 15:50
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -16.27%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-10 15:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -16.27%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-10 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -16.27%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-10 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -16.27%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-10 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.11%EV -11.02%E -4.63%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -2.06%E -0.782%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-10 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.02%E -4.63%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-10 16:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.02%E -4.63%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-10 15:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.91%EV -11.39%E -4.81%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-10 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.91%EV -11.39%E -4.81%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-10 15:50
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.89%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.89%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.89%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.89%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.89%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.89%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -12.89%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.18%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 15:14
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 15:39
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.76%E -3.58%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-10 16:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-10 15:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.41%EV -15.88%E -7.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -14.35%E -6.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-10 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-11-10 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.24%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.4%2026-11-10 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-11-10 16:20
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-11-10 16:20

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