The School of Odds

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

2026-08-08 16:00 UTC — EFL Cup

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Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 70.08%1.43fair odd
EV -6.79%
Edge -5.11%
Kelly -20.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.45%70.08%70.30%72.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.321.3378%76%76%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Port Vale (Visit)

Prediction 12.50%8.00fair odd
EV +18.79%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.416%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.13%12.49%12.28%14.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.006.946.109.5017%14%16%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 17.41%5.74fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.27%17.43%17.42%18.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.755.345.405.5021%19%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.37%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.13%EV +18.79%E +1.98%K +2.21%G +0.416%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 12:29
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 14:25
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 12:30
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 14:29
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 12:29
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +6.29%E +0.740%K +0.839%G +0.053%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 14:39
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.53%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.43%EV +2.54%E +0.309%K +0.352%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.22%E -0.829%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 17:45
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -6.22%E -0.829%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -17.29%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 15:10
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.27%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.35%EV -13.72%E -1.99%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -7.71%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 13:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39