Language:English
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 70.08%1.43fair odd
EV -6.79%
Edge -5.11%
Kelly -20.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.45%70.08%70.30%72.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.321.3378.13%76.29%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 12.50%8.00fair odd
EV +18.79%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.416%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.13%12.49%12.28%14.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.946.109.5016.67%14.41%16.39%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.41%5.74fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.27%17.43%17.42%18.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.345.405.5021.05%18.72%18.52%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local): 70.08%; Port Vale (Visit): 12.50%; Draw: 17.41%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.00. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.37%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.13%EV +18.79%E +1.98%K +2.21%G +0.416% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 12:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-26 12:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +6.29%E +0.740%K +0.839%G +0.053% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.53%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.43%EV +2.54%E +0.309%K +0.352%G +0.009% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-26 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.22%E -0.829%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -6.22%E -0.829%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -17.29%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.27%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.35%EV -13.72%E -1.99%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -7.71%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 05:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-30 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:39 |
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