The School of Odds

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

1.2878.13%Min
1.3176.41%Mean
1.3275.76%Median
1.3275.76%Max
68.45%1.461Min
72.29%1.383Max
69.71%1.435Mean
69.61%1.437Median
69.61%1.437IQM
69.92%1.430Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.32 under the IQM model: 69.61%

EV -8.11%Edge -6.15%Kelly -25.35%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Port Vale (Visit)

6.0016.67%Min
6.8214.66%Mean
6.1016.39%Median
9.0011.11%Max
10.17%9.831Min
14.91%6.706Max
13.13%7.615Mean
13.47%7.422Median
13.47%7.422IQM
12.97%7.713Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 9.00 under the IQM model: 13.47%

EV +21.26%Edge +2.36%Kelly +2.66%Growth +0.565%

Option 3: Draw

4.7521.05%Min
5.3518.70%Mean
5.4018.52%Median
5.5018.18%Max
16.27%6.147Min
18.81%5.316Max
17.16%5.828Mean
16.92%5.912Median
16.92%5.912IQM
17.12%5.842Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 16.92%

EV -6.96%Edge -1.27%Kelly -1.55%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWolverhampton Wanderers (Local)Port Vale (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.33I 75.19% NM 72.37%EV -7.42% E -5.58% K -22.48% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 10.13%EV +27.99% E +2.95% K +3.29% G +0.922%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.50%EV -6.96% E -1.27% K -1.55% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 12:29
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76% NM 71.53%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.49%EV +21.26% E +2.36% K +2.66% G +0.565%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.98%EV -11.19% E -2.13% K -2.63% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 02:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52% NM 71.36%EV -10.20% E -7.91% K -35.18% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.23%EV +21.26% E +2.36% K +2.66% G +0.565%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.41%EV -15.42% E -3.08% K -3.86% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 12:30
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52% NM 71.36%EV -10.20% E -7.91% K -35.18% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.23%EV +21.26% E +2.36% K +2.66% G +0.565%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.41%EV -15.42% E -3.08% K -3.86% G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 14:29
SportsBet1.28I 78.13% NM 71.52%EV -10.90% E -8.51% K -38.92% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 10.17%EV +21.26% E +2.36% K +2.66% G +0.565%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.31%EV -15.42% E -3.08% K -3.86% G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 12:29
FanDuel1.28I 78.13% NM 72.29%EV -10.90% E -8.51% K -38.92% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 10.89%EV +14.52% E +1.71% K +1.94% G +0.281%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.82%EV -6.96% E -1.27% K -1.55% G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 14:39
1xBet1.31I 76.34% NM 71.53%EV -8.81% E -6.72% K -28.42% G +0.000%8.20I 12.20% NM 11.43%EV +10.48% E +1.28% K +1.46% G +0.153%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.04%EV -6.96% E -1.27% K -1.55% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 19:29
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52% NM 69.27%EV -10.20% E -7.91% K -35.18% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 11.91%EV +1.05% E +0.140% K +0.161% G +0.002%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.81%EV -19.65% E -4.14% K -5.24% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 15:10
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92% NM 70.32%EV -9.51% E -7.31% K -31.68% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.06%EV -5.69% E -0.813% K -0.948% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -6.96% E -1.27% K -1.55% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 11:39
BetRivers1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -8.11% E -6.15% K -25.35% G +0.000%6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.81% E -2.92% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -8.66% E -1.60% K -1.97% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill1.30I 76.92% NM 68.82%EV -9.51% E -7.31% K -31.68% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.91%EV -19.16% E -3.19% K -3.83% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.27%EV -6.96% E -1.27% K -1.55% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport1.30I 76.92% NM 68.82%EV -9.51% E -7.31% K -31.68% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.91%EV -19.16% E -3.19% K -3.83% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.27%EV -6.96% E -1.27% K -1.55% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92% NM 68.82%EV -9.51% E -7.31% K -31.68% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.91%EV -19.16% E -3.19% K -3.83% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.27%EV -6.96% E -1.27% K -1.55% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92% NM 68.82%EV -9.51% E -7.31% K -31.68% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.91%EV -19.16% E -3.19% K -3.83% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.27%EV -6.96% E -1.27% K -1.55% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerWolverhampton Wanderers (Local)Port Vale (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39