L’École des cotes

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

2026-08-08 16:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

27 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 70.08%1.43cote équitable
EV -6.79%
Avantage -5.11%
Kelly -20.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.45%70.08%70.30%72.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.311.321.3378.13%76.29%75.76%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Port Vale (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.50%8.00cote équitable
EV +18.79%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.416%

avec la cote maximale 9.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.13%12.49%12.28%14.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.946.109.5016.67%14.41%16.39%10.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.41%5.74cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -0.769%
Kelly -0.940%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.27%17.43%17.42%18.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.345.405.5021.05%18.72%18.52%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.37%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.13%EV +18.79%E +1.98%K +2.21%G +0.416%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 12:29
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 14:25
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 12:30
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 14:29
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +12.54%E +1.39%K +1.57%G +0.197%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 12:29
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +6.29%E +0.740%K +0.839%G +0.053%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 14:39
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.53%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.43%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.43%EV +2.54%E +0.309%K +0.352%G +0.009%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.22%E -0.829%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 17:45
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.59%E -7.44%K -33.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -6.22%E -0.829%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -17.29%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 15:10
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.27%EV -6.79%E -5.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.35%EV -13.72%E -1.99%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -7.71%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 13:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.72%E -3.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.82%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -24.97%E -4.16%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39