Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Ham United v Portsmouth

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:02 UTC

Final: West Ham United 3–1 Portsmouth

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Ham United (Local)

Prediction 66.55%1.50fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -7.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.50%66.51%66.35%68.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.401.4576.92%72.64%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portsmouth (Visit)

Prediction 12.79%7.82fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.274%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 7.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.84%13.00%12.65%15.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.807.107.007.9717.24%14.09%14.29%12.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.66%4.84fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.252%
Kelly +0.316%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%20.49%21.00%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.634.704.9023.81%21.60%21.28%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Ham United (Local): 66.55%; Portsmouth (Visit): 12.79%; Draw: 20.66%. For Portsmouth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.94%EV -6.16%E -4.37%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.97I 12.55%NM 11.84%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.274%G +0.005%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -8.06%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:59
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.832%E -0.173%K -0.219%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:49
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.832%E -0.173%K -0.219%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:48
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.86%E -0.393%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.96%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.61%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.06%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:24
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:24
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:24
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:24
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-08 13:25
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -10.54%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -10.82%E -8.07%K -31.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%8.4%2026-08-08 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -10.15%E -7.52%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.10%E -0.547%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.90%E -0.617%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.16%E -4.37%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -5.38%E -0.727%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -12.19%E -2.87%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -7.30%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -0.832%E -0.173%K -0.219%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:49
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.25%EV -9.49%E -6.98%K -26.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -7.30%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV +1.23%E +0.252%K +0.316%G +0.004%7.7%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.49%E -3.87%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.96%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -0.832%E -0.173%K -0.219%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -0.832%E -0.173%K -0.219%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.86%E -0.393%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.86%E -0.393%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:49
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.54%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -8.16%E -5.91%K -21.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -13.23%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.48%E -8.63%K -34.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.03%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -13.48%E -10.37%K -44.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -2.90%E -0.617%K -0.783%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -13.48%E -10.37%K -44.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -2.90%E -0.617%K -0.783%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.38%EV -13.48%E -10.37%K -44.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -10.50%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -2.90%E -0.617%K -0.783%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.89%EV -10.82%E -8.07%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.08%EV -13.69%E -2.03%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.23%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.49%E -3.87%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -16.89%E -2.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.03%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.49%E -6.98%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.89%E -2.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.03%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.48%E -8.63%K -34.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -16.89%E -2.60%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -7.03%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.70%EV -3.50%E -2.41%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.45%EV -17.02%E -2.62%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.03%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 13:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -6.16%E -4.37%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -18.17%E -2.84%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -10.13%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -6.16%E -4.37%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -18.17%E -2.84%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -10.13%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:59
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -5.49%E -3.87%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -23.28%E -3.88%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.47%EV -7.49%E -5.39%K -19.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -23.28%E -3.88%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -2.90%E -0.617%K -0.783%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -6.82%E -4.87%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -25.84%E -4.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -13.23%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.85%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.85%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.85%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-08-08 14:00
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.85%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-08-08 14:00

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