La escuela de los momios

West Ham United v Portsmouth

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

West Ham United (Local)

Predicción 61.85%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.648%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.54%61.57%62.01%63.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.521.501.6070.92%65.86%66.67%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portsmouth (Visitante)

Predicción 16.85%5.93momio equitativo
EV +1.13%
Ventaja +0.188%
Kelly +0.226%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.73%17.01%16.81%20.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.115.256.0022.73%19.56%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.29%4.70momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.446%
Kelly -0.570%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.23%21.42%21.18%22.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.194.104.6025.32%23.87%24.39%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -8.46%E -5.72%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.13%E +0.188%K +0.226%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.05%E -0.446%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 19:20
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -8.46%E -5.72%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -0.557%E -0.094%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.05%E -0.446%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 19:20
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -8.46%E -5.72%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -0.557%E -0.094%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.05%E -0.446%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 19:20
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.60%E -4.37%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.13%EV -2.07%E -0.357%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 14:39
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -2.24%E -0.387%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -10.31%E -7.11%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.24%E -0.387%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 14:29
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -10.31%E -7.11%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:29
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -10.31%E -7.11%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -3.09%E -0.537%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 62.49%EV -7.84%E -5.26%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -5.61%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.88%EV -5.03%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 14:40
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.18%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.18%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.18%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 02:39
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.93%E -7.59%K -24.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -4.18%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.93%E -7.59%K -24.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.30%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -4.18%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.98%E -3.94%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.98%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.98%E -3.94%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.98%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.64%EV -7.84%E -5.26%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.98%E -1.66%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 14:32
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -11.51%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -7.38%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:05
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 62.07%EV -10.31%E -7.11%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV -11.51%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.79%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-23 14:35
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.08%EV -7.22%E -4.81%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -12.36%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:05
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.92%EV -12.79%E -9.07%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.79%EV -12.36%E -2.38%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-24 14:39
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -9.08%E -6.17%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -14.04%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -9.08%E -6.17%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -14.04%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 14:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.93%E -7.59%K -24.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.73%E -3.15%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -14.83%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-22 13:34
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.33%EV -10.93%E -7.59%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.48%EV -20.78%E -4.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 59.87%EV -12.79%E -9.07%K -31.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.76%EV -24.15%E -5.37%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.37%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-25 09:04
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -1.04%E -0.648%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.84%E -5.87%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-16 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%12.6%2026-07-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%12.6%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%12.6%2026-07-25 23:30