Language:English
Tottenham Hotspur v Charlton Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tottenham Hotspur (Local)
Prediction 73.87%1.35fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -10.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.25%73.87%73.42%76.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.261.251.3184.75%79.52%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Charlton Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 10.05%9.95fair odd
EV +15.60%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.232%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.37%10.02%10.09%12.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.759.179.0011.5014.81%10.90%11.11%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.07%6.22fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.202%
Kelly +0.240%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 6.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.85%16.11%16.49%17.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.755.756.3019.61%17.40%17.39%15.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tottenham Hotspur (Local): 73.87%; Charlton Athletic (Visit): 10.05%; Draw: 16.07%. For Charlton Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.95. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +15.60%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.232% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.27%EV +1.27%E +0.202%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 05:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.93%EV -6.18%E -4.87%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77%EV +10.58%E +0.962%K +1.06%G +0.112% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.31%EV +1.27%E +0.202%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 05:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +10.58%E +0.962%K +1.06%G +0.112% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 06:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -9.14%E -7.43%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.525%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.88%E -8.09%K -44.89%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +0.525%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.88%E -8.09%K -44.89%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +0.525%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 16:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -12.83%E -10.87%K -71.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV +0.525%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -8.40%E -6.77%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -9.88%E -8.09%K -44.89%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -0.336%E -0.054%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.09%EV -7.82%E -0.853%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.49%EV -9.82%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.23%E -2.46%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -17.07%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.98%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -17.07%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.98%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.60%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -17.07%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -14.80%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.47%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -29.63%E -4.23%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV -16.41%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 70.25%EV -9.14%E -7.43%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.80%EV -32.15%E -4.76%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.94%EV -18.02%E -3.53%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 31.89% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.73% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.39% | 185.1% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 31.89% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.73% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.39% | 185.1% | 2026-08-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |