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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Tottenham Hotspur v Charlton Athletic

开赛时间： 2026-08-25 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tottenham Hotspur (主队)

预测 73.87%1.35公平赔率
EV -3.23%
优势 -2.46%
Kelly -10.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.31

博彩公司预测分布
70.25%73.87%73.42%76.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.261.251.3184.75%79.52%80.00%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

Charlton Athletic (客队)

预测 10.05%9.95公平赔率
EV +15.60%
优势 +1.36%
Kelly +1.49%
增长率 +0.232%

假设最高赔率为 11.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.37%10.02%10.09%12.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.759.179.0011.5014.81%10.90%11.11%8.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 16.07%6.22公平赔率
EV +1.27%
优势 +0.202%
Kelly +0.240%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 6.30

博彩公司预测分布
14.85%16.11%16.49%17.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.105.755.756.3019.61%17.40%17.39%15.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tottenham Hotspur (主队)：73.87%；Charlton Athletic (客队)：10.05%；平局：16.07%。 对于“Charlton Athletic (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.95。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.50，对应+15.60%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +15.60%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.232%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.27%EV +1.27%E +0.202%K +0.240%G +0.003%3.9%2026-08-14 05:30
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.93%EV -6.18%E -4.87%K -22.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.77%EV +10.58%E +0.962%K +1.06%G +0.112%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.31%EV +1.27%E +0.202%K +0.240%G +0.003%3.7%2026-08-14 05:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +10.58%E +0.962%K +1.06%G +0.112%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 06:30
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -9.14%E -7.43%K -39.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.525%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 16:09
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.88%E -8.09%K -44.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +0.525%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 16:09
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.88%E -8.09%K -44.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +0.525%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 16:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -12.83%E -10.87%K -71.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV +0.525%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-14 21:55
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -8.40%E -6.77%K -34.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -9.88%E -8.09%K -44.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.50%E -0.474%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -0.336%E -0.054%K -0.065%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.62%G +0.000%9.17I 10.91%NM 10.09%EV -7.82%E -0.853%K -0.957%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.49%EV -9.82%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.81%EV -3.23%E -2.46%K -10.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 17:34
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 17:34
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.53%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.55%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -17.07%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.98%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 17:34
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -17.07%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.98%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 17:34
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.60%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -17.07%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -14.80%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -19.58%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.47%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -29.63%E -4.23%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV -16.41%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-12 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 70.25%EV -9.14%E -7.43%K -39.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.80%EV -32.15%E -4.76%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.94%EV -18.02%E -3.53%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-12 17:34
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 31.89%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.73%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.39%185.1%2026-08-14 21:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 31.89%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.73%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.39%185.1%2026-08-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-14 21:09