Language:English
Sunderland v Hull City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sunderland (Local)
Prediction 54.87%1.82fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.46%54.76%54.83%58.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.681.701.7664.10%59.42%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hull City (Visit)
Prediction 19.89%5.03fair odd
EV +7.42%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.125%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.08%19.93%19.87%21.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.734.705.4023.81%21.15%21.28%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.23%3.96fair odd
EV +3.46%
Edge +0.843%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.31%25.31%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.754.1029.41%27.05%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sunderland (Local): 54.87%; Hull City (Visit): 19.89%; Draw: 25.23%. For Hull City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.42%E +1.37%K +1.69%G +0.125% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +3.46%E +0.843%K +1.12%G +0.039% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.42%E +1.37%K +1.69%G +0.125% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +3.46%E +0.843%K +1.12%G +0.039% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.37%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.90%EV -3.42%E -1.94%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.68%EV -2.32%E -0.474%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.52%E -0.515%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.52%E -0.515%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -11.11%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.52%E -0.515%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -11.11%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.52%E -0.515%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.18%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.75%EV -3.32%E -0.683%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -3.36%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.57%EV -2.35%E -0.606%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.57%EV -2.35%E -0.606%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 17:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -11.11%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -5.51%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.38%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.49%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.49%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -14.40%E -9.23%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.32%EV -10.01%E -6.10%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 18:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -13.86%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -16.45%E -3.92%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |