默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sunderland v Hull City

开赛时间: 2026-09-08 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Sunderland 1–0 Hull City

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sunderland (主队)

预测 54.87%1.82公平赔率
EV -3.42%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -4.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布
52.46%54.76%54.83%58.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.681.701.7664.10%59.42%58.82%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hull City (客队)

预测 19.89%5.03公平赔率
EV +7.42%
优势 +1.37%
Kelly +1.69%
增长率 +0.125%

假设最高赔率为 5.40

博彩公司预测分布
18.08%19.93%19.87%21.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.734.705.4023.81%21.15%21.28%18.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.23%3.96公平赔率
EV +3.46%
优势 +0.843%
Kelly +1.12%
增长率 +0.039%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
23.81%25.31%25.31%26.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.703.754.1029.41%27.05%26.67%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sunderland (主队):54.87%;Hull City (客队):19.89%;平局:25.23%。 对于“Hull City (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.03。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.40,对应+7.42%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.42%E +1.37%K +1.69%G +0.125%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +3.46%E +0.843%K +1.12%G +0.039%2.4%2026-09-08 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.42%E +1.37%K +1.69%G +0.125%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +3.46%E +0.843%K +1.12%G +0.039%2.4%2026-09-08 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.37%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:35
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:35
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:35
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.535%E -0.107%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 18:35
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.90%EV -3.42%E -1.94%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.68%EV -2.32%E -0.474%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-08 18:35
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.52%E -0.515%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -2.52%E -0.515%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -11.11%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.52%E -0.515%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -11.11%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.52%E -0.515%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.18%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.75%EV -3.32%E -0.683%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -3.36%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.57%EV -2.35%E -0.606%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.57%EV -2.35%E -0.606%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 17:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -11.11%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -4.51%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -5.51%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.85%E -0.741%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.38%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.49%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.49%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -14.40%E -9.23%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -6.50%E -1.38%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 18:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -3.97%E -2.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.11%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.45%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 18:04
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 18:35
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -8.49%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:20
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:20
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.37%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.16%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.32%EV -10.01%E -6.10%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.64%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 18:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.48%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 18:04
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.47%E -2.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.90%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -13.86%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -14.21%E -4.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -16.45%E -3.92%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.68%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 17:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-09-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.43%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-09-08 18:40