Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stoke City v Hull City

Início: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Stoke City 1–1 Hull City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stoke City (Local)

Previsão 42.44%2.36odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.474%
Kelly -0.831%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.90%42.36%42.46%43.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3348.78%45.37%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hull City (Visitante)

Previsão 29.56%3.38odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -0.747%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.88%29.61%29.54%31.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.133.173.3033.90%31.90%31.55%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.00%3.57odd justa
EV +0.241%
Vantagem +0.067%
Kelly +0.093%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.87%28.03%28.00%29.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.263.253.5832.79%30.63%30.77%27.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Stoke City (Local): 42.44%; Hull City (Visitante): 29.56%; Empate: 28.00%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.57. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.58, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.241%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%EV -5.77%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV +0.241%E +0.067%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -5.35%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -2.47%E -0.747%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.66%EV -2.56%E -0.735%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:34
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:39
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.97%EV -6.31%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -6.76%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:22
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 18:23
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.90%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.90%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:04
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:38
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:29
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 18:38
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.99%E -6.34%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-25 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:24
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 18:19
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 18:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-25 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 18:39