Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stoke City v Hull City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Score final : Stoke City 1–1 Hull City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stoke City (Local)

Prévision 42.44%2.36cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.474%
Kelly -0.831%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.90%42.36%42.46%43.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3348.78%45.37%45.45%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hull City (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.56%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.747%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.88%29.61%29.54%31.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.133.173.3033.90%31.90%31.55%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.00%3.57cote équitable
EV +0.241%
Avantage +0.067%
Kelly +0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.87%28.03%28.00%29.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.263.253.5832.79%30.63%30.77%27.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stoke City (Local) : 42.44% ; Hull City (Visiteur) : 29.56% ; Match nul : 28.00%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.57. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.58, soit une espérance positive de +0.241%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%EV -5.77%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV +0.241%E +0.067%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -5.35%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -2.47%E -0.747%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.66%EV -2.56%E -0.735%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:34
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:39
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.97%EV -6.31%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -6.76%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:22
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 18:23
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.90%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.90%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:04
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:38
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:29
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 18:38
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.99%E -6.34%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 18:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-25 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:24
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 18:19
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 18:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-25 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-25 18:39