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Stoke City v Hull City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stoke City (Local)
Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.474%
Kelly -0.831%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.90%42.36%42.46%43.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3348.78%45.37%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hull City (Visitante)
Predicción 29.56%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.747%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.88%29.61%29.54%31.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.133.173.3033.90%31.90%31.55%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.00%3.57momio equitativo
EV +0.241%
Ventaja +0.067%
Kelly +0.093%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%28.03%28.00%29.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.263.253.5832.79%30.63%30.77%27.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Stoke City (Local): 42.44%; Hull City (Visitante): 29.56%; Empate: 28.00%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.57. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.58, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.241%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%EV -5.77%E -2.60%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV +0.241%E +0.067%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -5.35%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -2.47%E -0.747%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.66%EV -2.56%E -0.735%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.97%EV -6.31%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -6.76%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:22 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.90%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.90%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.42%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.99%E -6.34%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.75%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.87%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.41%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.05%EV -14.60%E -4.79%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |