Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.81
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 53.71%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 21.81%; Draw: 24.48%. For Doncaster Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.332%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +0.332%E +0.072%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -7.09%E -4.10%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -1.63%E -0.362%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -9.18%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -10.85%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.38%E -6.90%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.10%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -9.23%E -5.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.08%EV -15.14%E -9.58%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.08%EV -15.14%E -9.58%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.23%EV -15.68%E -9.99%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.79%E -1.54%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -9.48%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.62%E -4.43%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.36%EV -9.77%E -5.82%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.00%EV -10.31%E -6.17%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.85%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
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