Stockport County FC v Doncaster Rovers

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Stockport County FC (Local)

Odds

1.6162.11%Min

1.6460.90%Mean

1.6460.98%Median

1.7058.82%Max

Consensus probabilities

54.88%1.822Min

57.20%1.748Max

55.85%1.790Mean

55.73%1.794Median

55.73%1.794IQM

55.94%1.788Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 55.73%

EV -5.25%Edge -3.09%Kelly -7.50%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Doncaster Rovers (Visit)

Odds

4.3323.09%Min

4.4922.27%Mean

4.4022.73%Median

4.8020.83%Max

Consensus probabilities

19.19%5.212Min

20.80%4.807Max

20.09%4.977Mean

20.26%4.935Median

20.26%4.935IQM

20.03%4.992Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.80 under the IQM model: 20.26%

EV -2.73%Edge -0.569%Kelly -0.719%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.6527.40%Min

3.7326.83%Mean

3.6527.40%Median

3.9025.64%Max

Consensus probabilities

23.61%4.235Min

24.66%4.055Max

24.05%4.157Mean

24.00%4.166Median

24.00%4.166IQM

24.03%4.162Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 24.00%

EV -6.39%Edge -1.64%Kelly -2.20%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Stockport County FC (Local) ▼	Doncaster Rovers (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	1.72I 58.14% NM 55.80%EV -4.14% E -2.41% K -5.75% G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05% NM 20.21%EV -3.74% E -0.788% K -0.998% G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00% NM 23.99%EV -3.99% E -0.998% K -1.33% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.39%EV -5.25% E -3.09% K -7.50% G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74% NM 20.47%EV -6.78% E -1.47% K -1.88% G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64% NM 24.14%EV -6.39% E -1.64% K -2.20% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.07%EV -5.25% E -3.09% K -7.50% G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22% NM 20.80%EV -8.81% E -1.96% K -2.52% G +0.000%	3.88I 25.77% NM 24.13%EV -6.87% E -1.77% K -2.39% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-26 19:19
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88% NM 55.83%EV -6.93% E -4.15% K -10.34% G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05% NM 19.63%EV -3.74% E -0.788% K -0.998% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -8.79% E -2.31% K -3.14% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet	1.67I 59.88% NM 55.83%EV -6.93% E -4.15% K -10.34% G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05% NM 19.63%EV -3.74% E -0.788% K -0.998% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -8.79% E -2.31% K -3.14% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-26 14:29
SportsBet	1.66I 60.24% NM 56.33%EV -7.48% E -4.51% K -11.34% G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05% NM 19.69%EV -3.74% E -0.788% K -0.998% G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64% NM 23.98%EV -6.39% E -1.64% K -2.20% G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-26 11:49
LeoVegas	1.65I 60.61% NM 55.78%EV -8.04% E -4.87% K -12.37% G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74% NM 20.01%EV -6.78% E -1.47% K -1.88% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 24.22%EV -8.79% E -2.31% K -3.14% G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-02 10:20
BetRivers	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	1.64I 60.98% NM 54.88%EV -8.60% E -5.24% K -13.43% G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73% NM 20.46%EV -10.84% E -2.46% K -3.19% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 24.66%EV -12.39% E -3.40% K -4.68% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill	1.62I 61.73% NM 55.80%EV -9.71% E -5.99% K -15.66% G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22% NM 20.09%EV -8.81% E -1.96% K -2.52% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.11%EV -9.99% E -2.66% K -3.63% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 14:00
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73% NM 55.37%EV -9.71% E -5.99% K -15.66% G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09% NM 20.71%EV -12.26% E -2.83% K -3.68% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 23.92%EV -9.99% E -2.66% K -3.63% G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-06-27 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.62I 61.73% NM 53.62%EV -9.71% E -5.99% K -15.66% G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09% NM 20.06%EV -12.26% E -2.83% K -3.68% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 26.32%EV -20.79% E -6.30% K -9.04% G +0.000%	15.1%	2026-06-26 11:49
FanDuel	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.20%EV -10.27% E -6.38% K -16.83% G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83% NM 19.19%EV -2.73% E -0.569% K -0.719% G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64% NM 23.61%EV -6.39% E -1.64% K -2.20% G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-06-26 14:39
888sport	1.61I 62.11% NM 55.96%EV -10.27% E -6.38% K -16.83% G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22% NM 20.02%EV -8.81% E -1.96% K -2.52% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.02%EV -9.99% E -2.66% K -3.63% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	1.61I 62.11% NM 55.96%EV -10.27% E -6.38% K -16.83% G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22% NM 20.02%EV -8.81% E -1.96% K -2.52% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.02%EV -9.99% E -2.66% K -3.63% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	1.61I 62.11% NM 55.96%EV -10.27% E -6.38% K -16.83% G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22% NM 20.02%EV -8.81% E -1.96% K -2.52% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.02%EV -9.99% E -2.66% K -3.63% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 14:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Stockport County FC (Local)	Doncaster Rovers (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39