Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stockport County FC v Doncaster Rovers

Inicio: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Final: Stockport County FC 1–1 Doncaster Rovers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 53.71%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -3.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.44%53.72%53.73%56.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.701.701.8163.69%58.96%58.82%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 21.81%4.58momio equitativo
EV +0.332%
Ventaja +0.072%
Kelly +0.092%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.47%21.96%21.68%24.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.284.344.6026.32%23.36%23.04%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.48%4.08momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.519%
Kelly -0.692%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.11%24.32%24.59%25.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.823.804.0027.78%26.16%26.32%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Stockport County FC (Local): 53.71%; Doncaster Rovers (Visitante): 21.81%; Empate: 24.48%. Para Doncaster Rovers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.58. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.332%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +0.332%E +0.072%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:39
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -7.09%E -4.10%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -1.63%E -0.362%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -9.18%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:53
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:39
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -10.85%E -6.53%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:40
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -11.92%E -7.27%K -18.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -1.85%E -0.411%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.08%E -0.519%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:48
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.38%E -6.90%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.03%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.10%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:44
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -9.23%E -5.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.08%EV -15.14%E -9.58%K -26.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.08%EV -15.14%E -9.58%K -26.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.23%EV -15.68%E -9.99%K -27.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -6.21%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.01%E -3.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:34
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.79%E -1.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -9.48%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.62%E -4.43%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.36%EV -9.77%E -5.82%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.00%EV -10.31%E -6.17%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.85%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.70%E -5.12%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 13:54
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -4.94%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -17.12%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-08-08 13:50