La escuela de los momios

Stockport County FC v Doncaster Rovers

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 55.60%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.70%55.71%55.78%57.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.641.7564.52%60.44%60.98%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 20.75%4.82momio equitativo
EV -0.422%
Ventaja -0.088%
Kelly -0.111%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.19%20.69%20.59%21.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.394.404.8025.97%22.76%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.66%4.23momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.557%
Kelly -0.735%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.46%23.60%23.63%24.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.783.804.1328.57%26.43%26.32%24.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.74%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.11%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -10.17%E -2.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.74%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.83%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.83%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.57%E -0.994%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.74%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 14:30
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 14:30
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.40%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 05:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -1.46%E -0.307%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -1.46%E -0.307%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.84%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -9.76%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 06:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.71%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 06:20
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -7.71%E -4.64%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -0.422%E -0.088%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.74%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 14:30
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.71%E -4.64%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -10.79%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.56%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 19:20
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -7.71%E -4.64%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -11.83%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -7.71%E -4.64%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -11.83%E -2.78%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -3.53%E -0.760%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -5.85%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:14
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 56.82%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.62%EV -6.23%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.56%EV -2.30%E -0.557%K -0.735%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 14:30
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -8.82%E -5.38%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.72%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 14:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.93%E -6.13%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.29%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -10.49%E -6.51%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.422%E -0.088%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.74%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:30
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -10.49%E -6.51%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.57%E -0.994%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -10.49%E -6.51%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.57%E -0.994%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.11%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 09:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -2.50%E -0.531%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 14:29
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 14:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.40%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -17.02%E -4.25%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.85%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-24 06:19
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.03%EV -13.27%E -8.50%K -23.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -20.13%E -5.23%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.08%EV -17.20%E -4.92%K -6.88%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-24 06:19
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.10%EV -13.82%E -8.92%K -25.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -12.87%E -3.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -11.29%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 09:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%5.6%2026-07-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%5.6%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%5.6%2026-07-25 23:30