Language:English
Southampton v West Ham United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Southampton (Local)
Prediction 46.75%2.14fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.865%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.65%46.63%46.86%47.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.86%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
West Ham United (Visit)
Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -0.193%
Edge -0.054%
Kelly -0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%28.07%28.07%29.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.273.5532.79%30.55%30.53%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.686%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.18%25.30%25.07%27.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.653.9029.41%27.54%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southampton (Local): 46.75%; West Ham United (Visit): 28.11%; Draw: 25.13%. For West Ham United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.193%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.95%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -3.29%E -0.955%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV -3.50%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -0.193%E -0.054%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -13.30%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.24%EV -5.53%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.78%EV -3.75%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.90%EV -6.02%E -3.00%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.04%E -0.294%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV -2.24%E -0.576%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.39%EV -6.02%E -3.00%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.39%EV -6.02%E -3.00%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -13.30%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -13.30%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -7.89%E -4.01%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -3.00%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -8.36%E -4.27%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -14.25%E -4.67%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -8.36%E -4.27%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -14.25%E -4.67%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.19%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -14.25%E -4.67%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.16%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.70%E -5.60%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.70%E -5.60%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31% | 1.3% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |