Idioma:Español
Southampton v West Ham United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Southampton (Local)
Predicción 46.75%2.14momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.865%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.65%46.63%46.86%47.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.86%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
West Ham United (Visitante)
Predicción 28.11%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.193%
Ventaja -0.054%
Kelly -0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%28.07%28.07%29.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.273.5532.79%30.55%30.53%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.686%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.18%25.30%25.07%27.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.653.9029.41%27.54%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Southampton (Local): 46.75%; West Ham United (Visitante): 28.11%; Empate: 25.13%. Para West Ham United (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.56. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.55, con un valor esperado de -0.193%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.57%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.95%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -3.29%E -0.955%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV -3.50%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -0.193%E -0.054%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -13.30%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.24%EV -5.53%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.78%EV -3.75%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.90%EV -6.02%E -3.00%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.04%E -0.294%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV -2.24%E -0.576%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.39%EV -6.02%E -3.00%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.39%EV -6.02%E -3.00%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -13.30%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -13.30%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -7.89%E -4.01%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -3.00%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -8.36%E -4.27%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -14.25%E -4.67%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -8.36%E -4.27%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -14.25%E -4.67%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.19%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -14.25%E -4.67%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.16%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -10.23%E -5.33%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.70%E -5.60%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.70%E -5.60%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31% | 1.3% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |